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  earthquake prediction 101
    a collection of articles about earthquakes and seismology
 
  Home Page
  Earthquake Prediction - An Emerging Capability
  A Brief History of Modern Earthquake Prediction
  The Mathematics of Earthquake Prediction
  Scientific Basis for Earthquake Prediction
  Earthquake Prediction and Public Policy
  Plans for a California Earthquake Observatory
  Links and Resources
 

A quick overview of the site

Earthquake Prediction 101 is a set of articles and resources for researchers and the general public who are interested in seismology and the forecasting of seismic events such as earthquakes. Below is a list of the articles archived on the site, which are sourced from a number of organizations, including the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). In addition, this site includes links to earthquake prediction resources as well as a list of recommended books and reports.

Earthquake Prediction - An Emerging Capability
Earth scientists have begun to predict damaging earthquakes in California. Although earthquake prediction is still maturing, it is now reliable enough to make official earthquake warnings possible.

A Brief History of Modern Earthquake Prediction
The modern era of scientific earthquake prediction began in 1975, when Chinese officials ordered the evacuation of the city of Haicheng based on reports from scientists and civilians of unusual observations.

The Mathematics of Earthquake Prediction
Earthquakes behave very much like other seemingly random phenomena such as wind bursts, solar flares, and storms. Mathematically, these episodic events can be modeled using the "power law".

Scientific Basis for Earthquake Prediction
A model on which a scientific prediction could be based began to be developed in the late 1970's and early 1980's

Earthquake Prediction: Status Levels and Public Policy
In 1985, the USGS developed for predicting earthquakes in Parkfield, in Southern California. The affected counties participated in the public information program.

Plans for a California Fault Observatory at Depth
Building on more than 15 years of experience from the Parkfield Earthquake Prediction Experiment, the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the USGS started in June 2004 to drill a deep hole in order to install instruments directly within the San Andreas Fault Zone

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The Big One : The Earthquake That Rocked Early America and Helped Create a Science

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Krakatoa : The Day the World Exploded: August 27, 1883

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Earthquakes - 4th Edition, by Bruce A. Bolt

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